Oct 5, 2012 8:00pm PDT
debate or a good job number, dan? >> if president obama can turn around perceptions about the economy that ultimately will be a bigger deal. incumbent presidents have suffered through bad fist debates and been a table bounce back. if you have a really lousy economy it's tough to go against that. the interesting thing is that the obama campaign for months after one weak jobs number after another have always discounted the unemployment number. i think today they want people to look at that and they want people to think we've gone through at least a psychological barrier. there's been some evidence since the conventions that people do feel a little bit better about the commiff. that was helping president obama until the denver debate. now this race is tight and very much in flux. gwen: let's talk about the trend lines. the president can still claim 31 months of unsbrurmented job growth but mitt romney just made that point about how if different things were true this would be 11%. does he have a point? >> well, you can take statistics and play with them all you want. yes, if people weren'
Oct 5, 2012 8:00pm EDT
obama until the denver debate. now this race is tight and very much in flux. gwen: let's talk about the trend lines. the president can still claim 31 months of unsbrurmented job growth but mitt romney just made that point about how if different things were true this would be 11%. does he have a point? >> well, you can take statistics and play with them all you want. yes, if people weren't leaving, if people weren't dropping out of the job search process then there would be more people in it. ok. but what's important is the number. and the number is good for obama in the psychological way and also if you look historically. what we've just been through in the past year is one of the -- the changes are tiny, but one of the longest declines in the unemployment rate since 1984, so that's a very good trend for the president and public opinion polls have been sending these mixed signals. the most recent "wall street journal" poll had the wrong track number sky high, 60%. but of those who felt like the economy was improving and would continue to get better, it was like 54%. so something has
Sep 28, 2012 8:00pm PDT
people have already voted. i will say this, i do think this notion that barack obama is a master debater may not be quite right. his best formatis speaking to a large crowd from a microphone. both of them are smart and well prepared and all that. but if you look at some of the republican primary debates, mitt romney did well. if you go in that obama is so great in communicating, you might be surprised. gwen: primary debates had eight people on the stage and tried to yell at the moderator too often, but the question is, who is really the better debater? is it all spin at this point? >> it is all spin. because there is not much going on, there is a bit of a vacuum in the room now. the romney campaign -- governor romney has spent a lot of time practicing. he did five full mock debates. and he has lined up senator rob portman from ohio to play barack obama, the same person who played senator obama four years ago and advisers say he is letting him have it. gwen: wouldn't you like to be a fly on the wall? >> it is a final time for governor romney to reset the race or get people to take a secon